10 ENGLISH BOOKS RELATING TO «BASE RATE FALLACY»
Discover the use of
base rate fallacy in the following bibliographical selection. Books relating to
base rate fallacy and brief extracts from same to provide context of its use in English literature.
BASE-RATE FALLACY Errors in both the availability and representativeness
heuristic occur because people tend to ignore the probability of a given event, a
phenomenon called the base-rate fallacy (Tversky & Kahneman, 1973). This
fallacy ...
Catherine A. Sanderson, 2009
Axelsson concluded that false positives will always remain a major problem and
called this phenomenon, the base-rate fallacy of intrusion detection. We attempt
to address the base-rate fallacy. We claim that, even though the fallacy mandates
...
Mihai Christodorescu, Somesh Jha, Douglas Maughan, 2007
3
Stock-market Psychology: How People Value and Trade Stocks
The Base-Rate Fallacy and Representativeness Tversky and Kahneman (1982a)
propose that people tend to simplify their judgments and decisions through the
use of a few simple heuristics that help them avoid difficulties. The first ...
4
The Law and Economics of Irrational Behavior
This problem can be illustrated by the base-rate fallacy and conservatism. 2.3.1.1
.3 Base-rate fallacy. In Bayesian-type problems, people typically estimate the
posterior probability of an event (such as that a person is a lawyer or has a
disease, ...
Francesco Parisi, Vernon L. Smith, 2005
Please note that the content of this book primarily consists of articles available from Wikipedia or other free sources online.
Frederic P. Miller, Agnes F. Vandome, McBrewster John, 2010
6
Facilitation of Bayesian Decision Making
This within-subjects variation in attendance to base rates has been used to
criticize the theory of base-rate neglect, suggesting that the base-rate fallacy may
be a function of the task or interpretation of the task (Birnbaum, 1983; Koehler, ...
Yasmine Lauren Konheim Kalkstein, 2008
7
Induction and Deduction in the Sciences
Likelihoods And The Base-rate Fallacy One way to introduce the base-rate
fallacy is via the so-called Harvard Medical School test. Here are some details. A
test for the presence of a disease has two outcomes, 'positive' and 'negative'.
8
The Legacy of Solomon Asch: Essays in Cognition and Social ...
Contingent Goals: Narrative Inference and the Base Rate Fallacy The
paradigmatic and narrative modes are associated with fundamental orientations
that affect inference in general. The deployment of the two sets of strategies as a
function of ...
9
Social and Cognitive Pharmacy: Theory and Case Studies
Base-rate fallacy The base-rate fallacy is the failure to take account of the prior
probability of an event when making a judgement. Exploring the concept: the
base-rate fallacy Remember the thinking, again in a previous example, that the ...
10
Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World
Note that Inhelder and Piaget asked children for frequency judgments, not
probability judgments. Base-Rate Fallacy Among all cognitive illusions, the "base
-rate fallacy" has probably received the most attention. The neglect of base rates
...
10 NEWS ITEMS WHICH INCLUDE THE TERM «BASE RATE FALLACY»
Find out what the national and international press are talking about and how the term
base rate fallacy is used in the context of the following news items.
Statistics Done Wrong
This time the enemy is the base rate fallacy. In this case this is suppose to be the degradation in significance values when multiple tests are ... «iProgrammer, Jul 15»
Don't act so surprised – You were always an obvious target
This essay is about our adversaries' target development process, and about how I believe a base rate fallacy on our part makes us blind to ... «Pulse, Jun 15»
Harry Potter Ends (Again)
Readers learn alongside the Hogwarts students as Harry and Hermione discuss the base rate fallacy, risk aversion, scope insensitivity and ... «Honi Soit, Mar 15»
Welcome to the silly season of college football recruiting rankings
It's a base rate fallacy. If someone wants to bet me, I will take all the five star recruits and you can pick an equal number of two or three star ... «CBSSports.com, Jan 15»
Attack reveals 81 percent of Tor users but admins call for calm
It's easy to see how at scale, this 'base rate fallacy' problem could make the attack effectively useless," Dingledine said in a post. "I should also ... «Register, Nov 14»
Riskfactor: THE BASE RATE BIAS
Base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is an error in thinking that is common among people. If presented with related ... «mydigitalfc.com, Jul 14»
India's lower GDP growth is good news for some
In behavioural economics, there is something called the 'base rate fallacy'. Perhaps a base effect fallacy should also be added to better ... «Hindustan Times, Feb 14»
Is Your Security Program Effective ? 7 Must - Ask Questions
Can the CSO/CISO explain the “base rate fallacy”? (The answer should be “yes.”) 7. Do we measure probability, frequency, and impact with a ... «InformationWeek, Jan 14»
Return on security investment: The risky business of probability
... trying to normalize across organizations or getting more granular in actually addressing the risks by applying controls. (Hint: beware of the base rate fallacy.) ... «TechTarget, Dec 13»
Supporters of Stop-and-Frisk are Lying With Numbers
To assume that every black person is a criminal – as New York City's stop-and-frisk policy does – is to commit the base rate fallacy: lying with ... «PoliticusUSA, Aug 13»
