«GAMBLERS' FALLACY» 관련 영어 책
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1
Cognitive Psychophysiology: Event-related Potentials and the ...
Now, furthermore, when we talk about subjective probability, it seems to me that
when the subject operates on the gamblers' fallacy that in his subjective
experience he indeed expects a change after a long run of the same stimulus.
And what ...
2
Theological Incorrectness : Why Religious People Believe ...
Having deeply rooted expectations about how the world ought to work leads to
other interesting psychological effects regarding the belief in luck. Two common
cognitive mistakes that humans make collectively constimte the "gamblers fallacy,
" ...
D. Jason Slone Assistant Professor of Religious Studies University of Findlay, 2004
3
Introduction to Logic and Critical Thinking
To suppose otherwise is to commit the gamblers' fallacy. The preceding account
of how to understand the law of averages assumes that the coin is fair and that
the tosses are independent. Suppose those assumptions are false. Then would it
...
4
Invitation to Critical Thinking
Ad ignorantiam Explain your answer: Invincible ignorance False inference to best
explanation Correlation to cause Post hoc ergo propter hoc Overlooking a
common cause Causal oversimplification Slippery slope Gamblers' fallacy Ad ...
Joel Rudinow, Vincent E. Barry, 2007
5
Capital Market Anomalies: Explained by Human ?s Irrationality
That in turn results to wrong decisions.15 This heuristic involves several
expressions, which are gamblers fallacy, also known as Monte-Carlo-Effect or
law of small numbers, conjunction fallacy, conditional probability fallacy and
ecological ...
6
How to Dominate $1 and $2 No Limit Hold 'em
We're quite sure the "live straddle" player thinks that way; he wants to make his
raise first before he sees his cards that are "due" and to act last for the same
reason. While we occasionally may be drawn out on because of Gamblers'
Fallacy, ...
7
You Bet!: An A-Z of Poker, Casinos and Lotteries
See also Gambler's Fallacy,Gambler's Ruin, House Edge, Negative Expectation
Game, Quit whileyou're ahead. Gamblers Fallacy 'The house doesn't beatthe
player. It giveshimthe opportunity tobeat himself.' (Nick 'The Greek' Dandalos)
The ...
8
Acquiring a Conception of Mind: A Review of Psychological ...
Contrary to this simple statistical fact, the gamblers' fallacy is that if, for example, a
sequence of five tails has just occurred, then there is increased probability that
the next flip will give heads. Actually, that is not so, and the probability of heads ...
9
Preference, Belief, and Similarity: Selected Writings
This misconception produces two systematic errors. First, it leads many people to
believe that the probability of heads is greater after a long sequence of tails than
after a long sequence of heads; this is the notorious gamblers' fallacy. Second ...
Amos Tversky, Eldar Shafir, 2004
10
Advances in Swarm Intelligence, Part II: Second ...
... real decision-making; secondly, some scholars conduct their researches from
the perspective why gambler's fallacy and hot hand exist; the third research area
is to prove the mechanism results in generation of gamblers fallacy and hot hand
...
Ying Tan, Yuhui Shi, Yi Chai, 2011
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'Gambler's Fallacy' Makes Life Unfair
The gamblers' fallacy played a large role here. Under various versions of the experiment, loan officers were 5 to 8 percentage points less likely ... «Bloomberg View, 1월 15»
Does loyalty make you lucky? Some shoppers seem to think so
This attitude is not identical to the gamblers' fallacy belief that they're “on a streak” or “due” for a certain outcome, but it definitely has something ... «ConsumerAffairs, 9월 14»
Gambling Games: Winning Streaks Are Real, But Being Lucky …
Source: Xu J, Harvey N. Carry on winning: The gamblers' fallacy creates hot hand effects in online gambling. Science Direct. 2014. Comment. «Medical Daily, 5월 14»
The 'How' of the Hot Hand
Or, as the scientists put it, "The gamblers' fallacy created the hot hand." The paper says the findings could have implications for financial traders ... «Wall Street Journal, 4월 14»
Why We Can't Stop Gambling
Other research has shown that problem gamblers are prone to these misconceptions known as “gamblers' fallacy.” Problem gamblers make up ... «Discovery News, 4월 14»
Are You Not Entertained: Week Three National Action
Don't take the gamblers' fallacy that OSU is "due." This is a bad team that lost to a bad FCS school and an equally bad Hawaii squad. Utah is ... «Roll 'Bama Roll, 9월 13»
How to win the jackpot - four times
This is known as the gamblers' fallacy. There is, in fact, no pattern to these games. There is no way you can fiddle the odds, as generations of ... «Telegraph.co.uk, 8월 11»
