10 АНГЛІЙСЬКА КНИЖКИ ПОВ'ЯЗАНІ ІЗ «BASE RATE FALLACY»
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base rate fallacy та короткі уривки з них для забезпечення контексту його використання в англійська літературі.
BASE-RATE FALLACY Errors in both the availability and representativeness
heuristic occur because people tend to ignore the probability of a given event, a
phenomenon called the base-rate fallacy (Tversky & Kahneman, 1973). This
fallacy ...
Catherine A. Sanderson, 2009
Axelsson concluded that false positives will always remain a major problem and
called this phenomenon, the base-rate fallacy of intrusion detection. We attempt
to address the base-rate fallacy. We claim that, even though the fallacy mandates
...
Mihai Christodorescu, Somesh Jha, Douglas Maughan, 2007
3
Stock-market Psychology: How People Value and Trade Stocks
The Base-Rate Fallacy and Representativeness Tversky and Kahneman (1982a)
propose that people tend to simplify their judgments and decisions through the
use of a few simple heuristics that help them avoid difficulties. The first ...
4
The Law and Economics of Irrational Behavior
This problem can be illustrated by the base-rate fallacy and conservatism. 2.3.1.1
.3 Base-rate fallacy. In Bayesian-type problems, people typically estimate the
posterior probability of an event (such as that a person is a lawyer or has a
disease, ...
Francesco Parisi, Vernon L. Smith, 2005
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Frederic P. Miller, Agnes F. Vandome, McBrewster John, 2010
6
Facilitation of Bayesian Decision Making
This within-subjects variation in attendance to base rates has been used to
criticize the theory of base-rate neglect, suggesting that the base-rate fallacy may
be a function of the task or interpretation of the task (Birnbaum, 1983; Koehler, ...
Yasmine Lauren Konheim Kalkstein, 2008
7
Induction and Deduction in the Sciences
Likelihoods And The Base-rate Fallacy One way to introduce the base-rate
fallacy is via the so-called Harvard Medical School test. Here are some details. A
test for the presence of a disease has two outcomes, 'positive' and 'negative'.
8
The Legacy of Solomon Asch: Essays in Cognition and Social ...
Contingent Goals: Narrative Inference and the Base Rate Fallacy The
paradigmatic and narrative modes are associated with fundamental orientations
that affect inference in general. The deployment of the two sets of strategies as a
function of ...
9
Social and Cognitive Pharmacy: Theory and Case Studies
Base-rate fallacy The base-rate fallacy is the failure to take account of the prior
probability of an event when making a judgement. Exploring the concept: the
base-rate fallacy Remember the thinking, again in a previous example, that the ...
10
Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World
Note that Inhelder and Piaget asked children for frequency judgments, not
probability judgments. Base-Rate Fallacy Among all cognitive illusions, the "base
-rate fallacy" has probably received the most attention. The neglect of base rates
...
НОВИНИ ІЗ ТЕРМІНОМ «BASE RATE FALLACY»
Дізнайтеся, що обговорювала національна та міжнародна преса, і як термін
base rate fallacy вживається в контексті наступних новин.
Statistics Done Wrong
This time the enemy is the base rate fallacy. In this case this is suppose to be the degradation in significance values when multiple tests are ... «iProgrammer, Липень 15»
Don't act so surprised – You were always an obvious target
This essay is about our adversaries' target development process, and about how I believe a base rate fallacy on our part makes us blind to ... «Pulse, Червень 15»
Harry Potter Ends (Again)
Readers learn alongside the Hogwarts students as Harry and Hermione discuss the base rate fallacy, risk aversion, scope insensitivity and ... «Honi Soit, Березень 15»
Welcome to the silly season of college football recruiting rankings
It's a base rate fallacy. If someone wants to bet me, I will take all the five star recruits and you can pick an equal number of two or three star ... «CBSSports.com, Січень 15»
Attack reveals 81 percent of Tor users but admins call for calm
It's easy to see how at scale, this 'base rate fallacy' problem could make the attack effectively useless," Dingledine said in a post. "I should also ... «Register, Листопад 14»
Riskfactor: THE BASE RATE BIAS
Base rate fallacy, also called base rate neglect or base rate bias, is an error in thinking that is common among people. If presented with related ... «mydigitalfc.com, Липень 14»
India's lower GDP growth is good news for some
In behavioural economics, there is something called the 'base rate fallacy'. Perhaps a base effect fallacy should also be added to better ... «Hindustan Times, Лютий 14»
Is Your Security Program Effective ? 7 Must - Ask Questions
Can the CSO/CISO explain the “base rate fallacy”? (The answer should be “yes.”) 7. Do we measure probability, frequency, and impact with a ... «InformationWeek, Січень 14»
Return on security investment: The risky business of probability
... trying to normalize across organizations or getting more granular in actually addressing the risks by applying controls. (Hint: beware of the base rate fallacy.) ... «TechTarget, Грудень 13»
Supporters of Stop-and-Frisk are Lying With Numbers
To assume that every black person is a criminal – as New York City's stop-and-frisk policy does – is to commit the base rate fallacy: lying with ... «PoliticusUSA, Серпень 13»
