O QUE SIGNIFICA BAYES' THEOREM EM INGLÊS
Teorema de Bayes
Na teoria da probabilidade e nas estatísticas, o teorema de Bayes é um resultado que é importante na manipulação matemática das probabilidades condicionais. A regra de Bayes pode ser derivada de axiomas de probabilidade mais básicos, especificamente a probabilidade condicional. Quando aplicado, as probabilidades envolvidas no teorema de Bayes podem ter qualquer uma das várias interpretações de probabilidade. Em uma dessas interpretações, o teorema é usado diretamente como parte de uma abordagem particular da inferência estatística. Em particular, com a interpretação bayesiana da probabilidade, a teorema expressa como um grau subjetivo de crença deve mudar racionalmente para explicar a evidência: esta é a inferência bayesiana, que é fundamental para as estatísticas bayesianas. No entanto, o teorema de Bayes tem aplicações em uma ampla gama de cálculos envolvendo probabilidades, não apenas na inferência bayesiana. O teorema de Bayes é nomeado após Thomas Bayes, que primeiro sugeriu o uso do teorema para atualizar as crenças. Seu trabalho foi significativamente editado e atualizado por Richard Price antes de ser postusamente lido na Royal Society.
definição de Bayes' theorem no dicionário inglês
A definição do teorema de Bayes no dicionário é o resultado fundamental que expressa a probabilidade condicional P de um evento E dado um evento A como P. P / P; em geral, onde En é um de um conjunto de valores Ei que particionam o espaço de amostra, P = P P / Σ P P. Isso permite que as estimativas anteriores de probabilidade sejam continuamente revisadas à luz das observações.
10 LIVROS EM INGLÊS RELACIONADOS COM «BAYES' THEOREM»
Descubra o uso de
Bayes' theorem na seguinte seleção bibliográfica. Livros relacionados com
Bayes' theorem e pequenos extratos deles para contextualizar o seu uso na literatura.
1
The Theory that Would Not Die: How Bayes' Rule Cracked the ...
Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security.Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a ...
Sharon Bertsch McGrayne,
2011
2
Proving History:
Bayes's
Theorem and the Quest for the ...
In this in-depth discussion of New Testament scholarship and the challenges of history as a whole, historian Richard C. Carrier proposes Bayess Theorem as a solution to the problem of establishing reliable historical criteria.
3
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but ...
This is the “prediction paradox”: The more humility we have about our ability to make predictions, the more successful we can be in planning for the future.
4
Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Preventive Medicine
that the test is negative, and the vertical line ( | ) means “conditional on” what
immediately follows. Many clinicians, even those who understand sensitivity,
specificity, and predictive values, throw in the towel when it comes to Bayes
theorem.
5
Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
With only prior information /, we assign a probability P(A\1) for A. Then we get
new information B, and it changes as usual via Bayes' theorem to P(A\BI) = P(A\1)
P(B\A1)/P(B\1). (5.39) But then he decides that Bayes' theorem is not sufficiently ...
E. T. Jaynes, G. Larry Bretthorst,
2003
6
Hybrid Systems: Computation and Control: 5th International ...
MOTTO: "It is a capital mistake to theorise before one has data" Sherlock Holms
In: A Scandal in Bohemia Abstract. Rough set theory offers new perspective on
Bayes' theorem. The look on Bayes' theorem offered by rough set theory reveals
...
Claire J. Tomlin, Mark R. Greenstreet,
2002
7
Neural Networks and Soft Computing: Proceedings of the Sixth ...
The paper concerns some relationships between decision algorithms, Bayes'
theorem and flow graphs. It is shown it this paper that every decision algorithm
reveals probabilistic properties, particularly it satisfies the total probability
theorem ...
Leszek Rutkowski, Janusz Kacprzyk,
2003
8
Advances in Soft Computing - AFSS 2002: 2002 AFSS ...
2002 AFSS International Conference on Fuzzy Systems. Calcutta, India, February
3-6, 2002. Proceedings Nikhil R. Pal, Michio Sugeno, Asian Fuzzy Systems
Society. The Rough Set View on Bayes' Theorem Zdzislaw Pawlak University of ...
Nikhil R. Pal, Michio Sugeno, Asian Fuzzy Systems Society,
2002
9
Strategic Economic Decision-Making: Using Bayesian Belief ...
Bayes theorem decision making, 1, 12, 13, 16, 17 Bayes theorem definition, 3, 4,
32, 43 Bayes theorem disease, 2, 3, 13–15, 18 Bayes theorem 2 events, 29–32,
34, 37 Bayes theorem 3 events, 29, 31, 36, 37 Bayes theorem examples, 2, 4, ...
10
Bayesian Methods: An Analysis for Statisticians and ...
for the logical foundations, and Lee (1997) and Lindley (1965) for clear
introductions. For some historical background, see Jeffreys (1961 ). 2.1 Bayes'
Theorem Consider a statistical experiment £, with a sample space S of possible
outcomes, ...
Thomas Leonard, John S. J. Hsu,
1999
10 NOTÍCIAS NAS QUAIS SE INCLUI O TERMO «BAYES' THEOREM»
Conheça de que se fala nos meios de comunicação nacionais e internacionais e como se utiliza o termo
Bayes' theorem no contexto das seguintes notícias.
Aliens Will Be Bear-Size, According to Math
The finding is based on a model called Bayes' theorem and a branch of mathematics called Bayesian statistics. The purpose of such ... «Yahoo News UK, mai 15»
Experience may lead to misperception
This opinion is now disproved: "Using Bayes' theorem from classical probability theory, both theories can be integrated into a new model," ... «Science Codex, abr 15»
How to Find a Missing H-Bomb
Bayes' Theorem mathematically describes how “by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we can get a new and improved ... «War is Boring, abr 15»
From “Economic Man” to Behavioral Economics
The math behind Bayes' Theorem is simple, even if the application of it often isn't. Here's an illustration, adapted from Nate Silver's brilliantly clear explanation in ... «blogs.hbr.org, abr 15»
Excited for baseball? It doesn't matter (yet)
Using Bayes' theorem (a probability rule), one can find that expected true talent winning percentage based on the results from the beginning of ... «Tufts Daily, abr 15»
How 'Big Data' is an inescapable force that is shaping the future
Known as Bayes' theorem, it was used by Alan Turing and his colleagues at Bletchley Park, England, to break Nazi codes, including the ... «The National, mar 15»
Hunting for Quasars With a 17th Century Trick (Op-Ed)
An additional vital ingredient in the method is Bayes' theorem, a fundamental mathematical result published posthumously by the Presbyterian ... «Space.com, fev 15»
YouTube snow day? N.J. school posts videos of cheerleaders, math …
In a video released on Sunday night, Hopewell Valley Central math teacher Adam Shrager quickly uses Bayes' theorem of probability to ... «NJ.com, fev 15»
What chance the law is an ass?
As an example of Bayes' Theorem, consider a local man who is stopped ... Statistical Society says Bayes' Theorem "is just a statement of logic. «BDlive, fev 15»
Analytics changing way we interact with soccer
Bayes' Theorem is a way of updating the probability of an event occurring by combining what you initially thought the probability was with new ... «Sportsnet.ca, jan 15»